Nba Rookie Of The Year Betting – With the 2023-24 NBA regular season just around the corner, now is a good time to look at the Rookie of the Year odds and maybe place a future bet or two. Since its inception, the odds market has seen many changes and will continue to change throughout the regular season, so if you can spot market inefficiencies, you can anticipate any changes in odds.
Earlier this season, 7-4 wunderkind and first-round pick Victor Vembanyama was a -300 favorite to win the league in his first year. At the time, Vembanyama’s ROY odds indicated that he had a 75% chance of winning the ROY award.
Nba Rookie Of The Year Betting

A week before the start of the regular season, Vembanyama’s odds are now -110 at Caesars Sportsbook, with a predicted 52.38 percent.
Nba Rookie Of Year Odds
Behind Vembanyama are Chet Holmgren (+250) and Scoot Henderson (+275), suggesting a three-man matchup ahead of the regular season. However, you can easily see some newcomers making a name for themselves with strong new campaigns.
How should players bet on this prize? Let’s take a look at the latest 2024 rookie odds and highlight some favorites along with some sleeper candidates.
Victor Vembanyama (-110). With Vembanyama being a three-dollar favorite in this market, now might be the time to bet on the Spurs franchise center at a bargain price. Even taking his preliminary stats with a grain of salt, the man boasts a 13.7 net rating with a 71.2 true field goal percentage through two games.
He will thrive on the perimeter as a defender and shooter, showing his ability and smoothness to make a shot for someone his size. He will see a fair amount of usage during the regular season, as his 34.5% usage rate this season is indicative of what his potential workload could be this season.
Nba Rookie Of The Year Odds: Paolo Banchero Leads The Early Power Rankings
Sure, betting on the chalk favorite won’t yield the biggest payoff, but if Wembanyama starts the regular season with a bang, we could see his odds slip back into the -200 and -300 range.
Chet Holmgren (+250) should fully recover from the foot injury that sidelined him for the 2022-23 season and be in the ROY race in 2023-24. General election no. 2 last season looks to be the missing piece on a Thunder team on the brink of a playoff run, as young hot gun Mark Daigno, 7-1, helps keep Shai Gilgeous-Alexander focused.
Like Wembanyama, Holmgren’s two-way ability and coverage style should help a strong rookie campaign. Barring another setback, the Thunder could make the playoffs and we could see the Gonzaga product win the ROY award in his second year with the franchise.

Scott Henderson (+275). Despite having the third-best chance to win ROY, Henderson’s +275 rating is tempting after Damian Lillard was shipped to Milwaukee. Scoot should make plenty of noise while serving as the Blazers’ starting point guard, and while his rim shooting is an immediate concern, he thrives on high-ball screens, making 64.6 percent of his 2-pointers.
Nba Rookie Of The Year Odds Updated Following Summer League
Portland has a lot of guards with Anfernee Simons, Shaydon Sharp and Malcolm Brogdon, so Henderson may not see enough volume to put up ROY Award-worthy stats. However, he deserves to be one of the leaders entering the season.
Jarace Walker (+2000). Although he started his career on the bench, Walker is better than Pacers point guard Obi Toppin. It won’t take long for the eighth pick to become an important part of the Pacers’ rotation.
Walker’s ability to develop into a utility defender and stymie the passer should see him see plenty of minutes early in his career. While there are still questions about his offensive game, the splits in the NBA should help Walker become a more consistent offensive piece. At 20-1, Walker’s odds could improve during the regular season, so bettors can anticipate any change in odds by going with the former Houston Cougar.
Keyonte George (+2200). It remains to be seen how much George can accomplish in his rookie season, but the former Big Bear looked like a potential starter in the NBA Summer League. George is always looking for a trigger in attack as his aggressive and confident style should help him put up respectable stats in the new season. Through four preseasons, George has a respectable net rating of 14.6 and averages 7.8 field goal attempts per game in 21.5 minutes. When his name is called, he raises the stakes, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see his 22-1 price move closer to 15-1 on the season. The year’s starting field was cut short before the start of the season when second-round pick Chet Holmgren suffered an ankle injury that cost him the entire 2022-23 season.
Nba Betting Preview: Paolo Banchero Rookie Of The Year Chances And Other Award Picks
That left the Magic’s first overall pick, Paolo Banchero, as the runaway favorite to win. And while the odds are in his favor, recent history is not.
Final choice no. 1 for Rookie of the Year in 2018, and the former 76er actually did so a year after being drafted after missing his entire freshman season with an injury. Before that, Karl-Anthony Towns went 1.01 in 2016 and was equipped with all the pressure that comes with being a high pick. Winners since then have been Malcolm Brogdon (#36), Luka Doncic (#3), Ja Morant (#2), LaMelo Ball (#3) and Scotty Barnes (#4).
It’s still a blue-blood award — only two winners in the last decade (Brogdon and Michael-Carter Williams) have finished in the top 10. Still, Buncher is a stark contrast to his top-five peers, Jayden Ivey, Keegan Murray. and Jabari Smith should be highlighted given recent price trends.
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Paolo Banchero +200 Jayden Ivey +450 Keegan Murray +450 Jabari Smith +500 Benedict Mathurin +1000 Shaydon Sharp +3600 Jalen Williams +3600 Ochai Agbaji +3600 Dyson Daniels +4000
Rookie Of The Year Odds: Paolo Banchero Pulling Away From Bennedict Mathurin, Keegan Murray
Banchero had a breakout year at Duke, capped by a Final Four berth, second-team All-American and ACC Rookie of the Year honors. He led the Blue Devils in 2022 in scoring (17.2) and rebounding (7.8). And Banchero, 6’10, also showed off his moves as a defender and shooter, shooting 34% from deep.
Orlando lacks a true point guard and a leading scorer, and while picking Buncher won’t necessarily help in the first hole, he could help from the frontcourt and emerge as the leading scorer on a very young team loaded with lottery talents. Expectations are low for the Magic — they have the second-lowest projected win rate in the East (26.5) and after a 22-60 season, Banchera is ready. He provides an immediate upgrade to an offense that averaged 104.2 PPG a season ago.
The last three ROY winners pushed their teams to the playoffs or the playoffs. Banchero has a lot of work to do in that regard, but even if he doesn’t bring immediate success to the team, he has a profile that makes an excellent statistical case. Banchero is one of the few first-year specialists in the starting lineup, and unlike some of his peers who joined teams with one or two stars, this team will go as it is.
Indiana added a strong, talented shooter with the No. 6 in the draft. Mathurin averaged 17.7 PPG for No. 1 Arizona in the NCAA Tournament, and at 6’6″ he’s a solid guard, as evidenced by his college rebounding numbers. He’ll start the season behind sophomore guard Chris. Duarte, but Mathurin is the Pacers’ second half, and there’s always the possibility of Buddy Hilgetts moving, which would open up a starting spot.
Nba Rookie Of The Year Odds And Betting Primer
There isn’t much to dislike about Mathurin’s acting. In college, he shot a good 38% on three-of-five attempts per game and was relatively good at the line. Mathurin was never a true floor general at Arizona State, but he didn’t need to be at Indiana, where Tyrese Haliburton and T.J. McConnell supports a second block.
The Pacers draft is one of the worst in the NBA and there should be enough minutes and opportunities to give Mathurin the edge for ROY. He will have to be really interesting as a scorer for a team with such low expectations to focus on, especially in a situation where he will struggle to find minutes and a starting job. Mathurin has work to do, but his preseason performance has been encouraging and he shows more than double the potential of the players leading the draft.
Detroit decided to add Duren shortly after selecting Ivey in the top five. The Pistons secured the Knicks’ future
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